Running for the presidency of the United States is generally the highlight of a politicians political career. The question has been asked; “If Mitt Romney doesn’t win in Michigan and Arizona on Tuesday is his political career over”?
Well, we are firstly assuming that Romney would not run for a seat in Congress or a state seat in Massachusetts. Overall though, I believe Tuesday is not an absolute game-breaker for Mitt Romney because of the teeter totter that is the Republican nominating process.
I guess the assumption would be that Rick Santorum would win both Arizona and Michigan and use the momentum to roll through the other states. Unlikely.
No candidate has gotten on any sort of sustained roll. A candidate wins a few states and is promptly stopped in his tracks. Mitt Romney was a sure thing himself less than six weeks ago before key wins by Gingrich and Santorum. Now Santorum is surging, but if Romney wins, than is he the presumptive nominee again?
The process of delegate allocation will probably block any candidate from getting to 1100 delegates they need to be the nominee. Which means I’ll see you at the convention.
Showing posts with label Michigan Primary. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Michigan Primary. Show all posts
Thursday, February 23, 2012
Sunday, February 19, 2012
Romney's Michigan Moment
Mitt Romney’s presidential campaign has issues. First, he is unexpectedly swept by Rick Santorum in three February 7th contests [more on this later this week.] then he wins?Maine by 194 votes over Ron Paul.
Now, Mitt Romney is trailing Rick Santorum in Michigan ahead of the states February 28th primary contest. On paper, this should be a slam dunk for Romney, he was born in the state and his father was once the governor of the state.
I call this a must win for Romney because how do the Republicans as a party nominate a man for the presidency who can’t even win a state, he has such personal ties to? If he can’t win in Michigan, questions reign about his candidacy.
He hasn’t won a single state in the Midwest and only holds concrete wins in Nevada, New Hampshire, and Florida [See note on Maine above.] If you cannot win essentially a home state, how can we trust that you can beat President Obama in a general election?
Ask Al Gore failing to get the home-state win has disastrous consequences.
Now, Mitt Romney is trailing Rick Santorum in Michigan ahead of the states February 28th primary contest. On paper, this should be a slam dunk for Romney, he was born in the state and his father was once the governor of the state.
I call this a must win for Romney because how do the Republicans as a party nominate a man for the presidency who can’t even win a state, he has such personal ties to? If he can’t win in Michigan, questions reign about his candidacy.
He hasn’t won a single state in the Midwest and only holds concrete wins in Nevada, New Hampshire, and Florida [See note on Maine above.] If you cannot win essentially a home state, how can we trust that you can beat President Obama in a general election?
Ask Al Gore failing to get the home-state win has disastrous consequences.
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